Utilities & Energy

W|EPC: Enterprise (EPD) PDH-2 Q420 Project Monitor & Satellite Image Review Key Takeaways – Page 2 Cost & Schedule Updates Cost Forecast – Page 4 Project Milestones – Page 5 Progress Analysis – Page 6 Project Comps – Page 7 On-Site Staffing – Page 8 Analysis & Satellite Image Review Analysis – PDH 2 Recovery Potential – Page 10  Recovery Plan Risk – Page 11 Progress Comparison – Page 12 Staffing Comparison- Page 13 ~2 Years Of Project Development For EPD – 15 October 2020 Satellite Image – 16

W|EPC: Southern Company (SO) – Vogtle Nuclear Expansion – Q420 Project Monitor – Key Questions That Could Haunt Cost Prudency
Key Takeaways: Vogtle Q420 Monitor – Key Decisions That Could Haunt Cost Prudency

• Who Will Be Getting Stuck With +$2.1B In Cost Overruns? Once Vogtle Unit 4 reaches “fuel load”, Georgia Power/Southern Company (GP/SO) can request a cost prudency determination to push their portion of cost overruns (~$2.1B) into recoverable utility rates. (Page 4)
Regulators will determine cost prudency based on project data, testimony, and a simple question: What should a reasonable manager have done at the time of the decision? (Page 5)
• We expect that process to be heavily scrutinized considering the scale of the overruns, and, in our opinion, some questionable GP/SO decisions. (Pages 4-5)

• Decisions That Could Haunt GP/SO’s Prudency. We believe there’s a case to be made that multiple GP/SO management decisions ran contrary to industry standards, potentially contributing to ($) billions in cost overruns, including
o A failure to either include or implement multiple EPC contract……(Page 7)
o For the first 4-years of the project, GP/SO used only…..(Page 23)
o In 2017, it appears GP/SO did not validate critical underlying EPC…..(Pages 9- 10)

Dominion Energy (D) Q320 Capital Project Monitor: Key Takeaways

NGL Frac’s 7/8 BPD cost is ~36% lower than NGL Frac #1’s ($2,233 vs. $3,500) even though construction wages increased ~18% ($56.1K vs.
$66.2K). Note: an optimized engineering design, lessons learned, shorter schedule, and/ or sharing of common utilities and offsite facilities are
possible explanations for this improvement.

Regulatory Background: Vogtle is regulated by the Georgia Public Service Commission (GPSC). GPSC’s primary role is to protect rate payers & determine if project costs can be justifiably passed-through via utility rates.

Mighty Mouse? Sempra’s (SRE) Costa Azul LNG (ECA, 2.4mtpa Phase-1) might be the only North American LNG project with a realistic chance at FID in 2020. As we saw last cycle, being small (and cheap) can be an advantage in difficult markets. As we note below, we’ve included our key takeaways around 1) Project viability in the current environment, 2) Site & Permitting Issues, 3) our independent project timeline & cost estimates, and 4) our Independent assessment of ECA’s project economics.